I think the third thing is that at this point, again, given the limited enforcement resources that our government has, prediction markets just aren’t big enough to really be on their radar yet.
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February 20 wasn’t really about Anthropic and wasn’t even about cybersecurity. A headline moved an entire category, even though the companies inside it do very different things. That gap is becoming harder to ignore. Technology keeps getting more specialized while the way we group and price it hasn’t changed much.